Using his “Mental Performance Index,” a method of estimating how close a team has come to performing to perfection on a scale of .000 to 1.000, Murray has forecast that “the Colts should soundly defeat the Bears in Super Bowl XLI.” According to a news release, “Indianapolis (.547) scored much better than Chicago (.520) on the total MPI throughout the playoffs, and higher than the Bears in all six other categories.

“The Colts were superb on offense, where they posted a .548 to .510 advantage over the Bears. They also held the advantage on defense (.536 to .515), special teams (.560 to .558), pressure offense (.458 to .394), pressure defense (.673 to .621) and total pressure (.570 to .507).”

Murray concluded, “Taken together, it appears that Chicago is outmatched in this game. The Bears will have to play an almost perfect game, win the battle of turnovers, and make huge plays to win this one. Indianapolis has so decisively outperformed Chicago that a two- or three-touchdown victory looks imminent.”

Murray said his system has beaten the spread three times in the past four years, and predicted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ easy victory over the Oakland Raiders in the 2003 Super Bowl.